Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.745009 4.469427 5.276986 6.241124 7.357882 8.607633 10.108892
2025-08-31 2.693574 3.617322 4.754567 6.245896 8.136839 10.440238 13.442270
2025-09-07 2.024806 3.004783 4.315448 6.171004 8.699967 11.991744 16.559072
2025-09-14 1.513832 2.458293 3.818206 5.876839 8.862034 12.971331 18.977659
2025-09-21 1.220867 2.146751 3.568656 5.848603 9.332677 14.357785 22.024412
2025-09-28 1.001548 1.896157 3.353845 5.816197 9.759434 15.685847 25.072451
2025-10-05 0.905639 1.826382 3.403802 6.187081 10.820123 18.021666 29.779244
2025-10-12 0.796273 1.708828 3.350607 6.371792 11.590070 19.963670 34.029593
2025-10-19 0.717387 1.631039 3.350528 6.638217 12.509193 22.202258 38.901541
2025-10-26 0.618098 1.492307 3.215831 6.642635 12.971784 23.724160 42.721207
2025-11-02 0.509859 1.311717 2.971505 6.408125 12.978936 24.471503 45.300722
2025-11-09 0.421356 1.154634 2.746998 6.176766 12.957046 25.150756 47.792801
2025-11-16 0.364440 1.060183 2.640567 6.171697 13.370202 26.649578 51.856204
2025-11-23 0.317469 0.979592 2.551202 6.189585 13.828654 28.266391 56.249030
2025-11-30 0.271715 0.891044 2.428765 6.119155 14.100578 29.554870 60.134341
2025-12-07 0.220740 0.774700 2.220170 5.828280 13.886339 29.900280 62.296207
2025-12-14 0.191433 0.712894 2.133356 5.800574 14.217182 31.315054 66.552384
2025-12-21 0.166153 0.656454 2.050012 5.768499 14.532091 32.716455 70.868165
2025-12-28 0.160129 0.660632 2.127755 6.136731 15.765938 36.050434 79.150580
2026-01-04 0.147412 0.639012 2.131383 6.320124 16.597373 38.614788 86.060101
2026-01-11 0.138567 0.628746 2.165326 6.584645 17.638305 41.681089 94.149446
2026-01-18 0.122572 0.587709 2.102917 6.589032 18.067916 43.485243 99.780571
2026-01-25 0.102347 0.523752 1.959607 6.356200 17.904534 44.003618 102.792990